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Fiscal Policy & Taxation

The Freedom Dividend: Ranking the States That Are Actually Delivering on Economic Liberty

The Free Enterprise Nation
The Freedom Dividend: Ranking the States That Are Actually Delivering on Economic Liberty

Photo: WClarke, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

America's federal structure was designed, in part, as an experiment. The framers understood that concentrating all governing authority in a single national body invited tyranny and stifled the kind of policy innovation that comes from genuine competition among jurisdictions. States, in Justice Louis Brandeis's famous formulation, were meant to serve as laboratories of democracy — places where different approaches could be tested, their results observed, and their lessons adopted or discarded accordingly.

In the realm of economic policy, that experiment is currently producing results that deserve careful attention. The gap between states that have embraced free-market principles and those that have retreated into high-tax, heavily regulated governance models is no longer merely theoretical. It is visible in population data, business formation rates, income growth, and the movement of capital across state lines. The evidence is not ambiguous, and it carries implications that extend well beyond any particular state's borders.

How States Are Measured

Before examining individual states, it is worth establishing the criteria by which economic freedom is meaningfully assessed. The Fraser Institute's Economic Freedom of North America index and the Cato Institute's Freedom in the 50 States report both provide rigorous, data-driven frameworks. Broadly, the relevant variables include the overall state and local tax burden as a percentage of income, the breadth and complexity of occupational licensing requirements, labor market flexibility, the size of state government relative to the private economy, and the regulatory environment facing businesses at formation and during operation.

Migration data from the U.S. Census Bureau and moving company analytics from providers such as United Van Lines offer a useful real-world supplement to these indices. When people vote with their feet, they reveal preferences that surveys sometimes obscure.

The Leading States

Florida has emerged as perhaps the most consequential case study in twenty-first century economic governance. With no personal income tax, a relatively lean regulatory environment, and a state government that has shown genuine willingness to push back against federal overreach, Florida has attracted an extraordinary volume of both human and financial capital over the past decade. The relocation of major financial firms from New York and Connecticut to Miami is not merely a lifestyle story — it reflects a rational calculation about after-tax returns and regulatory predictability.

Between 2020 and 2023, Florida gained more net domestic migrants than any other state in the nation. Its GDP growth has consistently outpaced the national average. Business formation rates rank among the highest in the country. None of this is coincidental.

Texas presents a complementary model. Like Florida, Texas levies no personal income tax, but its story is rooted somewhat more deeply in its industrial and energy base. The state's willingness to permit energy production, maintain a flexible labor market, and resist the regulatory expansionism that has characterized California and New York has made it a magnet for manufacturing, technology, and corporate headquarters. Oracle, Tesla, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise are among the prominent companies that have relocated their headquarters to Texas in recent years — and each cited the business environment as a material factor in the decision.

Tennessee merits recognition as an underappreciated performer. The state has no income tax on wages, maintains a relatively modest regulatory apparatus, and has pursued a disciplined approach to state spending. Nashville's emergence as a destination for entrepreneurs and young professionals is frequently attributed to cultural factors, but the fiscal environment deserves equal credit. Tennessee's unemployment rate has consistently tracked below the national average, and its per-capita income growth has accelerated meaningfully over the past fifteen years.

South Dakota and Wyoming round out the top tier. Both states impose no personal income tax, maintain minimal bureaucratic overhead, and have structured their legal and financial environments to attract business formation and asset protection. They are not large economies, but their per-capita performance on measures of economic freedom and fiscal responsibility is difficult to surpass.

The Cautionary Cases

The contrast with states at the opposite end of the spectrum is instructive. California, despite its extraordinary natural endowments, technological infrastructure, and human capital, has spent decades constructing a regulatory and fiscal environment that actively penalizes the economic behaviors it most needs to encourage. The state's top marginal income tax rate of 13.3 percent is the highest in the nation. Its housing market — strangled by environmental regulations, zoning restrictions, and permitting delays — has produced a cost-of-living crisis that is pushing middle-income earners toward the exits at a historic rate.

California lost a congressional seat following the 2020 census for the first time in its history. Between 2020 and 2023, the state experienced net domestic out-migration of approximately 700,000 residents. The departure is not uniform — it is concentrated among working- and middle-class households for whom the tax burden and cost of living are most acutely felt.

Illinois tells a similar story with a municipal twist. Chicago's fiscal challenges have metastasized into a statewide problem, with pension obligations consuming an ever-larger share of the state budget and leaving diminishing resources for productive public investment. Illinois has lost population in each of the past nine years. Its bond ratings have flirted with junk status. The state's response — pursuing higher taxes rather than structural spending reform — has accelerated rather than arrested the decline.

New York continues to generate enormous economic output, largely on the strength of Manhattan's financial sector, but its trajectory is troubling. The state's tax burden ranks among the highest in the country, and its regulatory environment for small businesses is among the most complex. Governor Hochul's administration has shown little appetite for the structural reforms that would make the state competitive with its southeastern rivals.

What the Migration Data Tells Us

The movement of Americans across state lines over the past five years constitutes one of the largest natural experiments in domestic economic policy in modern history. The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated trends that were already underway, as remote work untethered many workers from geography and forced a more explicit reckoning with the value proposition of high-cost, high-tax states.

The results have been consistent across multiple data sources. States with lower tax burdens, more flexible regulatory environments, and smaller government footprints have gained population and economic activity. States with the inverse characteristics have lost them. The relationship is not perfect — climate, culture, and family ties all influence individual decisions — but at the aggregate level, the signal is clear.

The Lesson for Policymakers

The states performing best on measures of economic freedom are not succeeding despite their limited-government orientations. They are succeeding because of them. Lower tax burdens leave more capital in private hands, where it can be directed toward productive investment. Streamlined regulatory environments reduce the friction costs of starting and scaling businesses. Fiscal discipline preserves the long-term credibility of state finances and avoids the tax increases and service deteriorations that accompany structural deficits.

None of this requires the elimination of government services. The leading states fund education, infrastructure, and public safety — they simply do so with greater efficiency and without the sprawling administrative overhead that characterizes their less competitive counterparts.

America's federal structure gives every state the freedom to choose its own path. The data shows, with increasing clarity, which paths are working. The question is whether the states falling behind have the political will to learn from the ones pulling ahead — or whether they will continue constructing the conditions for their own decline.

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